Conclusion: PFIC1 iPS-derived hepatocytes are a new and an important in vitro model of this disease. FXR-mediated signaling in these hepatocytes is diminished and can be corrected with 4-phenylbutyrate, suggesting this agent as a novel pharmacologic therapy for Byler Disease. Disclosures: Benjamin L. Shneider – Consulting: Bristol Myers Squibb, Vertex; Stock Shareholder: Selleck Dabrafenib Bristol Myers Squibb The following people have nothing to disclose: Bing Han, Edgar N. Tafaleng, Frank Chen, Alexandra Dreyzin, Ira J. Fox Background: Biliary atresia (BA) is the leading cause of pediatric end-stage liver disease and liver transplantation in the U.S. Early diagnosis leads to improved outcomes but diagnosis
is often delayed leading to increased rates of transplantation and mortality. Methods: A Markov model was developed to GSI-IX simulate the natural history and transplant-related outcomes of patients with BA in a U.S. cohort. Information regarding proportions of individuals in different health states as well as values of qualityadjusted life years (QALYs) were obtained from published literature. Costs were estimated from the Johns Hopkins database of charges and were considered from the payer perspective using 2012 USD adjusted with the annual medical consumer price index. The base case assumed no screening. The proportions
of individuals moving through the model in the base case were compared to a hypothetical cohort that utilized nationwide screening with the stool color card developed by the Taiwan Health Bureau and these proportions were adjusted based on the literature. Screening was introduced at a cost of $0.03 per card and a cost of $753 to rule out false positives. Charges and QALYs were estimated to 20 years and discounted at 3%, as recommended by the U.S. Panel on Cost-Effectiveness. An Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio (ICER), defined as change in cost per change in effect, was calculated. Adhering to the convention in health oxyclozanide economics that defines a cost-effective strategy as one that costs less than the per capita gross domestic product (∼$50,000
in U.S.) to gain one QALY, an ICER of <$50,000/QALY was considered cost-effective. A negative ICER identified a dominant strategy that costs less and has better outcomes than the alternative. One-way sensitivity analysis was performed. Results: In the base case, the 20-year cost was $ 107, 895, 420 with 3, 059 QALYs. With introduction of screening (sensitivity = 0.975; specificity = 0.999), the 20year cost was $98, 770, 400 with 3,157 QALYs. Therefore, screening is associated with lower incremental costs of $9,125, 020 and higher incremental QALYs of 98 yielding a negative ICER (-$93, 017 per QALY). In a sensitivity analysis, only stool color card specificity was associated with the potential for screening to be cost-ineffective, with its lower limit >$50,000/QALY.
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